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The beautiful and tragic thing about having young children is you do stuff with them like blowing bubbles on your front porch with your extended family and you think "this is the best time of my life" and you're right.
7pm: Thinking to myself after closing the door on my toddler who I've just tucked into bed: They are an angel. I am so blessed. I love them infinitely. 8pm (after they've come out of their room 7 or 8 times): What if I bricked up their door at night?
Nice analysis from Peter here about one of the puzzles in AI - given all the changes AI is causing within the economy, why hasn't it had measurable impacts on unemployment?
Very interesting personal milestone - Fable just had a good suggestion for some text of a fictional story to delete. I find AI writing broadly excruciating, AI sub-editing pretty helpful, and feels like 'AI editing' is now coming online. Story coming in Import AI tomorrow!
At this point, everyone at the frontier of AI agrees that third-parties should test out AI systems and use these to develop standards to feed into policy - excellent to see @demishassabis laying out a framework to do this!
Import AI is skipping this week due to the two forces that currently heavily influence my life - demands of toddlers, and England's world cup journey.
While hiking today I encountered the gnarled base of a tree like some disembodied wooden hand clutching at grass and stone, and behind it the sun loomed so bright that it distorted the picture I took, giving itself an unearthly vast corona. #VOTENATURE2026
though many experts disagree on the nature of the singularity, all agree that the demarcation for the beginning of the "true foothills" lies on June 30th 2026, the day arXiv went from red to black.
Today at 6pm ET I'm in NYC with @sckimbriel for an @aspeninstitute conversation on AI and the future of society. We'll be talking about RSI, the futures implied by AI progress, and the choices we'll need to consider as the technology advances. Watch live: http://youtube.com/live/iP9wk0pkCGM
wherein @jackclarkSF will offer practical instructions for how to live through the singularity?
灼熱の日に素敵なレッドウッド渓谷でハイキング、太陽がまぶしくてキャノピーの一部がまばゆく輝いてた。頭を後ろに傾けて口を開けながら、百万枚の葉のささやくようなざわめきに包まれて、その美しさに驚嘆しながら歩いた。#VOTENATURE2026
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Hiked in a cool redwood valley on a scorching day, the sun so bright it made parts of the canopy shimmer luminous. I walked with my head craned back and mouth agog marveling at the beauty, accompanied by the whispering sussuration of a million leaves. #VOTENATURE2026
ニッチツイート：興奮しやすい幼児がいて、BueyやRaffiを聞くのに疲れて、たまには子ども向けのまともなテレビを見せて食器洗い機を空にするみたいな基本的なことができる時間が欲しいなら、このGeesesのCobra曲のファンメイドビデオが気に入るかもね。https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R6UcL3HfnII
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Niche tweet: If you have an excitable toddler, get sick of listening to Bluey and Raffi, and need the occasional bit of non-brainslop kid TV to let you do basic tasks like unload the dishwasher, you might like this fan-made video for the Geese song Cobra. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R6UcL3HfnII
日曜日だから Import AI で少し気を抜いてる。@akorinek の最近のペーパーについて書いた。経済における AI の測定についての楽しい内容で、明日のイシュー 459 で取り上げる予定。
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It's sunday, so getting a little loose with Import AI. Wrote up a fun recent paper from @akorinek about measuring AI in the economy, will be covered tomorrow in issue 459.
Import AIの次号用に創作ストーリーを書いたんだけど、以前のものとはかなり異なるんだ。AIがより強力になるにつれて人類の前には美しいものが待ってると思うし、ここで何かそれをキャプチャしようとした。号は火曜日に公開される予定。
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Wrote a fictional story for the next issue of Import AI that is pretty different to my previous ones. I think there are beautiful things ahead for humanity as AI gets more powerful and I've tried to capture some of that here. Issue should come out on Tuesday.
僕の『RSI 2028年末までに60%』という主張に異議を唱える素晴らしいポストだ。特に@sudoraohackerがいくつかのハードなベンチマークを挙げて、RSIについてより慎重な見方をしている点が良い（ただし彼は約10年での実現は可能だと考えている）。
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Very nice post pushing back on my "RSI 60% by EOY 2028" claim. I particularly like how @sudoraohacker surfaces some hard benchmarks that give him a more bearish view on RSI (though he still thinks possible in ~10 years).
Will We See AI with Recursive Self Improvement in 2028? Likely Not., by @raohackr https://open.substack.com/pub/hashcollision/p/will-we-see-ai-with-recursive-self?r=854n6&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true
Import AI は今週お休みします。AI の進歩に関する大きなエッセイを執筆中で、次号で公開予定です。
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Import AI will be skipping this week. I have a big essay I've been working on relating to AI progress and it will come out in the next issue.
I will be giving a lecture in Oxford on May 20th called "Change is inevitable. Autonomy is not". Excited for people to hear it, and I hope to publish it afterwards as well.
Syllabus here: https://hailab.ox.ac.uk/event/philosophy-ai-and-innovation-seminar/
My toddler couldn't sleep so they snuggled next to me on the couch while I read an extremely dry and finicky Huawei paper on low-bit precision training. It was oddly beautiful to be pecking away at my newsletter while my kid occasionally made me take breaks to quack like a duck.